MEF
Research Programme No. 07

Delhi traffic
is a fluid.

Every traffic model used in India treats a motorcycle and a bus as identical. That's physically wrong. We're building the first multi-viscosity fluid framework for mixed Indian traffic — treating each vehicle class as a fluid of different viscosity, and using a modified Reynolds number to predict the moment a junction tips from orderly flow into a jam.
Programme
Multi-Viscosity Traffic Fluid Dynamics
Anchor Institution
IIT Delhi
Dept. of Mechanical Engineering
Faculty Supervisor
Prof. Mayank Kumar
Year One Goal
One peer-reviewed working paper
Target · Transportation Research Part B
01 · The Core Idea

The jam doesn't start where vehicles stop.
It starts upstream.

Indian urban traffic is the most heterogeneous flow on earth. Motorcycles, auto-rickshaws, cars, buses, e-rickshaws, and hand-pulled carts all share one notional lane. Each behaves like a fluid of fundamentally different viscosity. Nobody has modelled this properly.

Current models — LWR, Nagel-Schreckenberg, IDM — treat the stream as one species. The result is design guidance that fails Delhi's reality: junctions where the bottleneck appears to be a stop line, but the real cause is exit geometry hundreds of metres downstream.

"When a canal's exit narrows too quickly, water flows backwards. Delhi's junctions do exactly the same thing."

Our hypothesis: a multi-phase, multi-viscosity formulation — coupled to a junction-scale Reynolds number — can predict the moment of transition from laminar to turbulent flow. Fix the exit geometry, and you fix the jam.

The Canal Analogy

Back-pressure propagates against the direction of motion.
FREE FLOW BACK-PRESSURE EXIT NARROWS

The jam front propagates upstream from a poorly shaped exit — exactly as fluid mechanics predicts for compressible flow through a sudden contraction.

02 · The Viscosity Hierarchy

Six vehicle classes.
Six different fluids.

Each vehicle class on a Delhi road behaves like a fluid with a distinct viscosity — set by physical footprint, gap acceptance, speed variance, and lateral clearance. The first task of MVTFD is to derive a defensible μeff for each class.

01 / 06
Motorcycles & ScootersTwo-wheelers
water
02 / 06
Auto-rickshawsThree-wheelers
light oil
03 / 06
Cars & SUVsPassenger four-wheelers
syrup
04 / 06
E-rickshawsSlow electric three-wheelers
thick syrup
05 / 06
Buses & TrucksHeavy commercial
honey
06 / 06
Hand-pulled cartsNon-motorised slow traffic
paste
03 · The Physics

A Reynolds number for mixed traffic.
Predicting the tipping point.

Modified Reynolds · MVTFD-1
Re = ρ · v · Dhμeff
ρTraffic density · vehicles per kilometre
vMean approach speed at junction inlet
DhHydraulic diameter of the approach lane
μeffEffective viscosity — weighted by vehicle mix · the variable nobody has computed

Laminar, transitional, turbulent.

In classical fluid mechanics, the Reynolds number separates smooth flow from chaos. We propose that mixed traffic exhibits the same regime structure — that there exists a critical Re above which a junction collapses from orderly merging into self-sustaining jam propagation.

The central research question is empirical: does this threshold hold for Delhi? And if it does — at what value, and how does it shift with composition?

Re < 500
Laminar — orderly, predictable lanes
Re 500–2000
Transitional — weaving, slow merges
Re > 2000
Turbulent — chaotic, jam propagation

Thresholds are hypothetical at this stage. Empirical calibration against Delhi field data is the year-one objective.

04 · The Literature Gap

Six decades of traffic modelling.
None of it built for Delhi.

1955
LWR Model
Lighthill, Whitham, Richards
The original traffic-fluid model. Treats traffic as a single compressible fluid. Foundation of nearly every macroscopic model since.
Homogeneous single fluid · no vehicle heterogeneity
1992
Nagel-Schreckenberg
Cellular automata
The dominant model for Indian traffic simulations. Each vehicle is an independent agent on a 1D lattice following local rules. Used by CRRI and NITI Aayog.
Treats all vehicles identically · no viscosity analogy
1995
Helbing's Gas-Kinetic
Navier-Stokes analogue
Extended the fluid analogy via a Boltzmann-like kinetic equation. Couples density, mean speed, and speed variance. More rigorous than LWR.
Still single-species · designed for European highway traffic
2000
IDM / Car-Following
Treiber et al.
Intelligent Driver Model — microscopic, models individual vehicle behaviour through gap-acceptance and desired speed. Widely cited.
Calibrated for car-dominated fleets · breaks down without lane discipline
2000s · 2020s
PCT / Mixed Traffic
India-specific IIT & CRRI attempts
Empirical PCU (Passenger Car Unit) equivalency factors patched onto LWR to handle non-motorised and mixed transport in Indian conditions.
Empirical patch-ups to LWR · no underlying physics change
2023 · Closest precedent
Traffic Flow Factor (TFF)
Reynolds analogue · single-phase
The most recent work closest to ours — first paper to formally introduce a Reynolds-number-like metric for traffic flow. Our jumping-off point.
Single-phase · not validated for mixed heterogeneous fleets
The MVTFD Gap

No existing framework combines multi-class heterogeneity with fluid-mechanics physics at junction scale. That gap is what this programme exists to close.

05 · The Work Programme

Six tracks. One paper.
A year of work.

T1

Literature review · global traffic fluid models

Structured review of all major macroscopic and fluid-analogy models. Original paper, core assumptions, vehicle types it was designed for, prior application to Indian traffic, and the precise gap relative to MVTFD.

Literature
T2

India-specific model audit

Document the simulation tools state PWDs and traffic planners actually use. CRRI reports, NITI Aayog transport documents, IRC junction design guidelines, MoRTH standards — and the assumptions baked into each.

Literature
T3

Multiphase flow literature · the physics side

Survey of multiphase fluid models from chemical engineering and biomedical research — Bingham plastic, Herschel-Bulkley, Carreau, blood-flow analogues. Identify which is the best structural fit for the vehicle-mix problem.

Literature
T4

Junction candidate shortlist · Delhi field sites

Identify 4–6 candidate Delhi junctions for field data collection. Each documented with vehicle mix, geometry sketch, known congestion pattern, and accessibility for camera placement. Two sites selected after joint field visit.

Field
T5

μeff parameter derivation · first attempt

From published data on vehicle dimensions, typical speeds, and gap-following behaviour: a first-pass derivation of effective viscosity for each Indian vehicle class. Starting from gap acceptance, speed variance, and lateral clearance.

Analysis
T6

Re computation at two Delhi junctions

Compute the modified Reynolds number across morning and evening peak windows at the two selected sites. Test whether the proposed threshold reliably predicts the onset of jam propagation.

Validation
06 · What This Is Building Toward

One paper, then a programme.
Delhi as the world's best laboratory.

The Paper
A co-authored working paper, on the table by end of year one.
  • Derive μeff for each Indian vehicle class
  • Compute Re at two Delhi junctions, peak and off-peak
  • Test the Re threshold as a jam-onset predictor
  • Co-authored with Prof. Mayank Kumar, IIT Delhi
  • Target journal — Transportation Research Part B
The Bigger Picture
The first multi-viscosity traffic model in the world, built where it was needed first.
  • First multi-viscosity traffic model designed for India
  • Foundation for an evidence-based junction design standard
  • Transferable to Mumbai, Bengaluru, Dhaka, Cairo, Lagos
  • Anchors a longer research programme on mixed-flow cities
  • Positions Delhi as the world's best test laboratory
What success looks like

One published working paper, co-authored with IIT Delhi, showing that a modified Reynolds number predicts jam onset better than any existing model for mixed Indian traffic. That's it. That's the whole goal for year one. Everything else — the full simulation, the junction design codes, the policy work — comes after that one paper exists.

In Partnership With
Massive Earth FoundationProgramme lead
IIT DelhiDept. of Mechanical Engineering
Prof. Mayank KumarFaculty supervisor